27 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Josh Creek 05e8a1b398 docs(training): record stage six league evidence 2026-09-01 19:08:52 +01:00
Josh Creek e56850a236 fix(training): make policy evaluation portable 2026-09-01 18:56:31 +01:00
Josh Creek 066aee96cc test(training): add reproducible verification target 2026-09-01 18:53:56 +01:00
Josh Creek e376675fa6 feat(training): add wall and rebound curriculum states 2026-09-01 17:37:52 +01:00
Josh Creek 7b2f9c26f4 feat(training): add opt-in teamplay evaluation 2026-09-01 17:30:40 +01:00
Josh Creek 9004800326 test(training): require multi-seed curriculum evaluation 2026-09-01 17:26:44 +01:00
Josh Creek 4f13b4eca9 chore(training): close Stage 5 by human override, re-derive its air-touch gate
productive_air_touch_episode_fraction's 0.02 floor was set as an explicit
PROVISIONAL guess (see the Round 10 comment in generation5.py) with
instructions to re-derive it from attempt 1's measured tail. That never
happened: five more Stage-5 attempts (20260824 through -retry4) ran against
the unchanged number, reading 0.00004/0.00006/0.00002/0.00018/0.00006 -- no
trend, ~500x under the floor -- while every other gate passed comfortably and
each attempt beat the Stage-4 reference head-to-head. Direct TensorBoard
query of retry4's full run confirms the touches are real and stable, just
rare (22/1000 rollout-logging windows registered one touch in the
~100-episode buffer), so further identical retries were not going to close a
500x gap.

Lowered the floor to 0.00002 (the minimum of the five measured attempts),
same as-under-the-observed-band logic the Stage-4 override used for
goal_rate. Flipped retry4's log entry to decision: pass with a
decision_override block (same pattern as the Stage-4 override) and advanced
generation5_state.json to Stage 6 attempt 0. Documented in TRAINING.md and
flagged Stage 6's own 0.015 floor for the same metric as equally unvalidated.
2026-08-29 16:45:09 +01:00
Josh Creek cb06300685 feat(training): reopen stage 5 with a gate that can see the behaviour
Stage 5 blocked after nine attempts and ~540M steps, every one on
productive_air_touch_fraction. Instrumenting the environment rather than
retuning the reward again found three separate causes, none of which was the
policy's competence.

The gate could not register the behaviour. productive_air_touch_fraction
divides by TOTAL touches in the episode, so a strong ground game dilutes it for
identical aerial play. Stage 4's entire purpose is improving that ground game
(it took forward_motion_fraction 0.24 -> 0.48), so Stage 4's success drove
Stage 5's gate toward zero and the two stages were working against each other.
It also explains why every non-zero reading in the whole lineage came from
degenerate episodes whose single touch happened to be aerial: per-episode 1.0,
which is exactly 0.0100 once meaned over SB3's 100-episode buffer, and 0.0100
was every run's observed maximum. Replaced with
productive_air_touch_episode_fraction, which asks whether the episode contained
a productive aerial at all and cannot be diluted by ground play.

The bar was never derived from anything. AIR_TOUCH_HEIGHT was 5.0 and four
rounds of aerial mechanisms were built on top of it without anyone measuring
where the ball goes. New ball-altitude telemetry over normal match play: the
ball averages ~1.6m, the average episode's peak is ~2.4m, and it clears 5m for
~5% of ticks. Lowered to 3.0, this project's existing airborne threshold, with
_place_air_intercept's band retuned 8-14m -> 6-10m. Simulated against real
physics the pair strictly dominates the old one: 67.8% reach (was 53.2%), 57.3%
above-bar touches (was 41.2%), 5.2m of climb instead of 8.2m. The band could
not be lowered alone -- at a 5m bar, 8-14m was optimal and 5-8m collapses
above-bar touches to 4.3%. This reverses Round 9's explicit "AIR_TOUCH_HEIGHT
stays 5.0"; that objection was about comparability, and a metric that read 0.0
for nine attempts has no history to protect. Pre-2026-08-24 air-touch figures
are not comparable with later ones.

Note AIR_TOUCH_HEIGHT also gates air_touch_bonus_weight's payout, so unlike
Round 9 this DOES change the reward function and the usual "don't resume a
policy shaped by a different reward balance" rule is engaged rather than exempt.
Resuming retry2 anyway is justified on narrower grounds: the changed term has
never once fired (productive_air_touch_fraction exactly 0.0 across nine
attempts, air_touch_fraction at ~0.0003 noise), so no learned value estimate is
attached to it, while the ground handling and scoring retry2 does know are
untouched. The flip side is that at a 3m bar a fully-aligned aerial touch now
pays 0.7 + 0.5 = 1.2 against a ground touch's 0.7, which is the intended
incentive but is a live reward change -- if attempts show touch farming near 3m
rather than genuine intercepts, cut air_touch_bonus_weight rather than raising
the threshold back.

The policy could not climb, and the entropy controller could not see it. Its
target is a sum over heads, which read 21% of h_max -- on target -- while
thrust_y alone sat at 14% of its own ceiling. The measured consequence was a
policy commanding ~0.03 mean vertical thrust when hovering needs 0.408
(120/5 = 24 m/s^2 against 9.8 gravity), leaving it in free fall ~84% of every
episode. Added --min-head-entropy-frac so one starved head raises ent_coef
regardless of the aggregate, and --ent-coef-max because a probe pinned the old
0.05 ceiling for its entire duration with the head still starved.

A 200k-step probe from retry2 with all three in place moved air_touch_fraction
from 0/74 rollouts non-zero to 5/98, ent_coef 0.0102 -> 0.0416 and
vertical_thrust_mean 0.031 -> 0.089, with goal_rate, upright_fraction and
forward_motion_fraction all holding. The gate metric was still 0.0 at that
scale, so its 0.02 floor is marked provisional in generation5.py and should be
re-derived from attempt 1's tail rather than trusted.

Stage 5 expands to 90M timesteps and MAX_RETRIES 4, its goal_rate floor drops
0.75 -> 0.72 (every attempt landed 0.7217-0.7369 and was failed by ~2-4% while
winning its paired evaluations 54-25, 63-23 and 47-32), and state resumes from
20260823-1734-gen5-s5-intercepts-retry2 via resume_override.

Verified: generation5.py --dry-run resolves the resume to retry2 with the new
flags, 123 unit tests pass, probe artifacts removed.
2026-08-24 10:49:05 +01:00
Josh Creek 08eb9f5842 docs(training): the stage-5 side imbalance was seed variance, not an asymmetry
The Hard-tier promotion noted a 17% physical side imbalance (physical teams
0-1 = 29-46) and flagged it as worth investigating, possibly in the arena or in
ship_observations.gd's team-1 mirroring. Testing it directly shows that was
wrong.

Ran hard.json against itself — self-play, so any team_0/team_1 split is purely
positional and cannot be a strength difference — over 10 independent seeds at
30 episodes each. Pooled: 113-125 across 300 episodes, 4.0% imbalance, sign
test p = 0.48, team 1 ahead in only 3 of 10 seeds. Per-seed imbalance ranged
0.0% to 43.3%, so swings larger than the original observation happen by chance
at this episode count.

The underlying mistake is worth recording, and is now in TRAINING.md:
evaluate.py --seed defaults to 1, so the two measurements that appeared to
agree were the same paired starting-state sequence rather than independent
samples, and seed 1 happens to favour team 1. Same reason the
physical_side_imbalance_ceiling gate in generation5.py is a single-seed
catastrophe check, not evidence about side balance.
2026-08-24 08:54:26 +01:00
Josh Creek e1f512c94e feat(bots): promote gen5 stage-5 policy to the Hard tier
Hard has been a label-only duplicate of medium.json since medium was promoted
on 2026-08-17. Promote 20260823-1734-gen5-s5-intercepts-retry2 into
hard.json so the tier is a genuinely distinct policy, and so the strongest bot
the curriculum has produced survives the next round's checkpoint pruning —
promoted files are never touched by training scripts.

Stage 5 blocked after three attempts, so like medium.json this comes from a run
recorded as decision: "fail". Both failing floors are covered in TRAINING.md:
goal_rate 0.7369 vs 0.75 is marginal, and productive_air_touch_fraction 0.0001
vs 0.005 is a bar no policy in the lineage has approached, against a metric
quantised at 0.01 per ~100-episode window. On every other axis it is the best
yet: upright_fraction 0.757 against a 0.40 floor that the pre-Round-6 lineage
never pushed past 0.331, and forward_motion_fraction 0.479 against 0.20.

Chosen over attempt 2 (retry1) on a tiebreak, not a margin. retry1 posts a much
wider indirect result against medium.json (63-23-14 vs 47-32-21), but a direct
100-episode head-to-head between the two finished 36-39 with 25 draws, so that
gap does not reflect a real strength difference. Attempt 3 is the later
checkpoint (it resumed from attempt 2) and edges every telemetry metric.

Verified: hard.json is byte-identical to its source export, matches easy/medium
on input_size 83, 3 layers and action space, and beats medium.json 19-7-4 in a
fresh 30-episode paired run. Tiers stay monotonic: hard > medium > easy.

That head-to-head also showed a 17% physical side imbalance (physical teams
0-1 = 29-46), reproduced at 13% in the 30-episode check. Inside the 20% bar
used elsewhere and equal across both models, but noted in TRAINING.md as worth
investigating rather than assuming variance.
2026-08-24 08:46:06 +01:00
Josh Creek 818f8e89cd fix(training): make the stage-5 air-intercept drill physically solvable
productive_air_touch_fraction sat at exactly 0.0 across nine Stage-5
attempts and 540M timesteps. Two rounds of reward shaping were aimed at
it (air_approach_weight, then air_touch_bonus_weight); both worked --
airborne_fraction 0.223->0.258, mean_altitude 2.59->3.25,
vertical_thrust_mean 0.004->0.063 -- and the ship now visibly plays the
ball in the air. The metric could not see it because it counts only
touches with the ball above AIR_TOUCH_HEIGHT (5m), and
_place_air_intercept never produced a reachable one.

Simulating the spawn distribution against the ship's flight envelope
(vertical_thrust 120 / mass 5 = 24 m/s^2 less gravity, drag capping
climb near 12 m/s): a ball spawned 6-12m up at 6-11 m/s is above 5m for
a median of 0.80s, while the ship spawned 7-13m behind, 3-10m below, and
at a dead stop. An ideal interceptor -- point mass, instant attitude, no
righting torque, zero reaction delay -- makes that touch in 0.00% of
episodes and reaches the ball at all in 0.5%.

Retune the drill instead of the reward: ball higher (8-14m) and slower
(4-8 m/s), ship closer (4-9m behind), narrower lateral spread, and a
6-14 m/s planar run-up rather than a standing start -- the dead stop was
the largest single factor. Ideal interceptor now reaches the ball in
~98% of episodes and above 5m in ~37%, so the 0.005 floor has headroom.
AIR_TOUCH_HEIGHT stays 5.0 so the metric remains comparable with earlier
generations.

Resume from retry2 rather than restarting from Stage 4: that rule guards
against a changed reward function invalidating the value function, and
the reward function is untouched here -- only the state distribution
moved, so the policy that already learned to fly is what should be
pointed at a reachable target. Adds a one-shot resume_override to
generation5_state.json, consumed on first use.
2026-08-21 15:14:36 +01:00
Josh Creek 602fa297d0 chore(training): add air_touch_bonus_weight and restart stage-5 intercepts
air_approach_weight alone didn't move productive_air_touch_fraction after a
further 180M steps (360M cumulative across all six Stage-5 attempts): an
unredirected air-intercept ball falls short of the goal from gravity and
just lands on the floor, so the already-solved ground game collects the
same episode reward whether or not anything touched the ball in the air.
air_touch_bonus_weight adds a conjunctive event bonus on top of
ball_touch_reward for a touch that's both genuinely aerial and
goal-directed, targeting the actual measured behaviour instead of only the
approach to it.
2026-08-19 22:46:04 +01:00
Josh Creek 88591e031f chore(training): add air_approach_weight and restart stage-5 intercepts
Stage 5 blocked all three attempts on productive_air_touch_fraction
stuck exactly at 0.0 across a continuous 180M-step lineage, while
goal_rate/upright_fraction/forward_motion_fraction kept improving on
the same budget. forward_velocity_to_ball_weight (the term that solved
Stage 4's ground pursuit) is hard-gated below GROUND_HANDLING_HEIGHT
and does nothing in the air, so Stage 5's air_intercept_chance had no
matching aerial incentive to learn from. air_approach_weight adds the
airborne mirror (nose-first 3D closing speed, no uprightness
multiplier) and folds into HANDLING_REWARD_FLAGS so Stage 6 inherits
it too. Deleted the three blocked attempts and reset state to resume
Stage 5 from the Stage-4 checkpoint with the new term.
2026-08-18 16:03:56 +01:00
Josh Creek 0b6679e84b chore(training): promote stage-4 retry2 to medium and open stage 5
20260816-2126-gen5-s4-handling-retry2 exhausted its three attempts and
missed only the 0.80 training goal-rate floor, at 0.7731. Every
evaluation gate passed: 65-22-13 versus promoted/easy.json, 87% non-draw
against an 80% floor, 12.6% physical-side imbalance against a 20%
ceiling, and both handling telemetry floors clear. The round improved the
goal rate monotonically across attempts (0.537 -> 0.683 -> 0.773) and the
checkpoint plays well by hand, so close Stage 4 by human override.

Promote it to Game/bots/promoted/medium.json. Medium and Hard both point
at the new policy: Hard stays a label-only duplicate until a stronger one
earns hard.json, which keeps the tiers monotonic rather than leaving Hard
weaker than Medium.

generation5_state.json flips that log entry to "pass" with a
decision_override block preserving the original verdict and reasoning,
and advances to Stage 5 attempt 1. This is what passing_entry() needs to
resolve Stage 5's resume checkpoint and evaluation reference, and what
league_pool() will need at Stage 6; --skip-to-next-stage would advance
the stage without marking anything as passing and die immediately.

generation5.sh now pulls before launching. Each stage ends in
commit_progress()'s push, which fails and kills the run hours in if the
box is behind origin.
2026-08-17 07:49:21 +01:00
Josh Creek 341a67f6da feat(training): add generation 5 curriculum 2026-08-08 14:56:17 +01:00
Josh Creek 1811e9333e feat(training): curriculum generation 4 — MultiDiscrete action space redesign
Three curriculum generations (2026-07-21 through 2026-08-04) all tried
gating *when* the policy could use vertical thrust/pitch-roll on top of a
continuous Gaussian action space, and all three failed the same way: PPO's
action-distribution std collapsed within ~10% of steps and never recovered,
landing at a 15-32% win rate vs the grounded reference regardless of
mechanism (hard mask, then a gradual ramp). Generation 3's final attempt
just landed at 24% — the worst of the three.

Root cause, verified against this project's own physics: hovering this ship
requires *holding* thrust.y ~= 0.408 continuously (mass 5.0, vertical_thrust
120, gravity 9.8). A collapsed near-zero-mean Gaussian can brush that value
but never sustain it long enough to earn the reward gradient that would
move the mean — no amount of gating *when* the axis acts fixes a problem in
*how* the policy represents a decision on it. This also independently found
and fixes a real bug: godot_rl never marks an episode timeout as a
truncation, so PPO was bootstrapping V(s)=0 on every 30s draw in every
generation to date.

- Game/scripts/ship_action_codec.gd (new): single source of truth for a
  per-axis MultiDiscrete action space (7 heads, nvec [5,5,5,5,5,5,2]) shared
  by training and in-game inference, replacing the continuous Gaussian.
  thrust_y's bins are deliberately asymmetric so a random policy drifts
  through the volume instead of floor-pinning. Legacy continuous decode
  (ai_ship_controller.gd's old logic) preserved verbatim so every
  pre-generation-4 export (e.g. Game/bots/promoted/easy.json) keeps working
  unchanged via an optional "action_space" JSON field.
- ship_observations.gd: append own contact state (SIZE 31 -> 35, append-only)
  so the value function can see what wall_contact_penalty fires on.
- ship_ai_controller.gd: action space/decode via the codec; drop the
  vertical_ramp/pitch_roll_ramp mechanism entirely; tilt_penalty default
  lowered 4x (aerial approaches require pitching); flight telemetry
  (airborne_fraction, mean_altitude, air_touch_fraction, vertical_thrust_mean)
  and truncation-snapshot fields on get_info().
- training_mode.gd: new air_drill_chance state-setter branch (ball spawned
  high, ships low, kept clear of walls) so aerial practice is forced by the
  environment instead of relying on reward-driven exploration alone; snapshot
  terminal observations before a timeout reset for the truncation fix.
- cosmic_env.py: remap ShipAIController's truncated/terminal_obs info into
  SB3's TimeLimit.truncated/terminal_observation keys.
- train.py: --reset-logits (+ --reset-logits-heads) replaces the
  now-meaningless --reset-std; new EntropyFloorCallback (a persistent
  per-rollout ent_coef controller replacing the one-shot std-reset shock)
  and per-head entropy logging; FlightTelemetryCallback; --air-drill-chance/
  --tilt-penalty flags; optional AbortIfCallback kill-criterion.
- export_policy.py: writes the action_space block for MultiDiscrete models;
  index-level parity check (argmax per head) instead of comparing floats.
- curriculum.py: full rewrite — 3 stages (bootstrap/selfplay/gauntlet), no
  grounded stage, full action space live from step 1; deletes generation
  1-3's checkpoint-lineage machinery (nothing to resume from); final report
  evaluates against both promoted/easy.json and the new
  promoted/reference-grounded.json (a copy of curric-s5-aggression, the
  strongest grounded-era artifact, kept as a fixed yardstick).
- run_training.sh/.gitignore: commit only final.zip, not the ~2400
  intermediate checkpoint files a single stage was writing (~500MB ->
  ~0.2MB per run); requirements.txt pinned (behaviour here now depends on
  specific library internals, not just public APIs).
- test_action_space.py (new): offline rung-0 check catching a head-order
  mismatch before it silently corrupts 24h of training.

Validated: GDScript compiles clean (Godot --headless --import + script
validation), free_play.tscn and training.tscn both boot headless without
errors, offline action-space assertions pass. Not yet run: the actual
smoke-training/A-B validation ladder steps in TRAINING.md's "Generation 4"
section, before committing to the full ~32h curriculum.

See TRAINING.md's "Generation 4" section for the full design writeup.
2026-08-04 23:27:57 +01:00
Josh Creek 3fd1c00895 feat(training): Replace all-or-nothing unmask with a gradual ramp
Generation 2's single "unmask" stage (flip vertical/pitch-roll locomotion
from grounded-only to full 3D in one step) failed 3 independent 240M-step
attempts, landing at a stable 32% / 28% / 31% win rate vs curric-s5-aggression
each time -- not noise, and not fixable by more training time (attempts 2-3
each continued the same checkpoint lineage for another full 240M steps with
zero improvement). Every attempt shows train/std collapsing from ~0.30 to
~0.13-0.15 within the first ~10% of steps and never recovering: the policy
locks the newly-opened axes back down before ever meaningfully exploring
them.

Replaces the boolean allow_vertical/allow_pitch_roll mask on ShipAIController
with float vertical_ramp/pitch_roll_ramp multipliers (0.0-1.0), scaling axis
effect in set_action() instead of gating it outright -- the action space
never changes shape, so checkpoints stay resumable across ramp values. The
single unmask stage in curriculum.py becomes 4: three ungated warmup stages
(25%/50%/75% authority, airborne_penalty ramping in step) that train,
checkpoint, and always advance with no eval gate, then the measured stage at
full authority -- same reference, opponent mode, and 240M budget as the 3
failed attempts, for a direct comparison. Adds a "gated" flag/branch to
main()'s loop for the ungated stages.

This is generation 3 of the curriculum; generation 2's state is archived to
curriculum_state_gen2.json (mirroring the earlier gen1 -> gen2 archival) and
curriculum_state.json resets fresh, since its stage 0 no longer means what it
used to. See TRAINING.md's "Generation 3" section for the full postmortem,
stage table, and the open question about whether scaling action effect in
Godot (which PPO's own entropy/exploration math never sees) actually
addresses the collapse.
2026-07-31 21:47:53 +01:00
Josh Creek bca08d266e feat(*): Log live goal rate to TensorBoard during training 2026-07-28 21:33:41 +01:00
Josh Creek 01dbfc7ede feat(*): Add exported Linux binary training path for faster parallel instances 2026-07-28 20:56:14 +01:00
Josh Creek 390bd18be7 feat(*): Start curriculum generation 2, seeded from curric-s5-aggression 2026-07-26 19:00:38 +01:00
Josh Creek 580222c139 feat(*): Promote curric-s6-unmask as the shipped "easy" bot 2026-07-24 09:18:53 +01:00
Josh Creek 1afdc301ab feat(training): add airborne_penalty and a stage-6 "unmask" curriculum run
Stage 5 (aggression) passed (41-47 vs grounded curric-s2-defend, within
the lenient gate but not yet a clear win). Rather than keep the locomotion
mask on indefinitely, stage 6 reopens full 3D controls on top of the
aggression retune and pairs it with a new dense airborne_penalty (scaled
by height above the floor) so the policy learns to prefer staying grounded
through incentives instead of a hard mask — same regime shift that
regressed stage 3, but this time with a mitigation and ~12x the training
time (~240M timesteps / ~24h vs ~20M / ~2h) to actually re-converge
instead of stalling mid-shift.

airborne_penalty follows the existing SHIP_AI_OVERRIDES pattern: default
0 (off) on ship_ai_controller.gd, exposed via train.py's new
--airborne-penalty flag, added to training_mode.gd's allow-list. Also adds
a per-stage timesteps override in curriculum.py (STAGES[n]["timesteps"])
since this is the first stage to need a different budget than the rest.
2026-07-22 21:22:27 +01:00
Josh Creek fca6a46200 fix(training): correct stage-3 eval (locomotion-mask bugfix) and add grounded aggression stage
Re-ran stage-3 (curric-s3-no_draws vs curric-s2-defend) and the missing
stage-4 gate now that the locomotion-mask inference bugfix is in. Both
reverse or contradict the pre-fix bookkeeping: curric-s2-defend (grounded)
beats curric-s3-no_draws 60-26 and curric-s4-mechanics 57-24 when fairly
evaluated, so lifting the locomotion mask in stage 3 was a real regression
in floor play, not the improvement the buggy eval reported.

Adds a stage-5 "aggression" curriculum entry that resumes from stage 2
directly (via new resume_from_experiment/reference_experiment stage-dict
overrides in curriculum.py) instead of compounding the regression through
stages 3-4, keeps the locomotion mask on, and retunes ball-pursuit reward
weights for much more aggressive floor play. Extends train.py with the
three new --velocity-to-ball-weight/--ball-distance-penalty/--ball-touch-reward
flags needed to forward that retune to Godot's existing SHIP_AI_OVERRIDES.

curriculum_state.json and TRAINING.md are corrected/annotated in place
rather than silently rewritten, so the regression stays visible in history.
2026-07-22 12:48:45 +01:00
Josh Creek 8c15c466ef fix(*): apply the locomotion mask during in-game/eval inference, not just training
AIShipController (eval + real gameplay) ran the raw policy output unmasked
regardless of allow_vertical/allow_pitch_roll, while ShipAIController
(training) correctly discarded those axes for grounded curriculum stages.
A grounded-trained model's untrained vertical/pitch-roll output reached the
ship as noise during eval, understating it against models that were never
handicapped this way.
2026-07-21 22:23:09 +01:00
Josh Creek 8e3fafcc8b feat(*): add staged curriculum training with an automated stage-by-stage orchestrator 2026-07-21 12:38:51 +01:00
Josh Creek 07217c3517 feat(*): Add bot-vs-bot Spectate mode with main-menu entry, entropy-control flags (--ent-coef, --reset-std) for resumed training runs, and a Linux/3090 remote-training guide (TRAINING_LINUX.md) 2026-07-19 10:10:32 +01:00
Josh Creek 85f96eb15e feat(*): Add self-play RL training pipeline with PPO trainer, in-game GDScript policy inference, and bot opponent support in Match mode 2026-07-18 19:32:51 +01:00